Tiny Habits by B.J. Fogg would likely help you further.
The key trick is to start really small to remove the hurdle of getting going and establishing the habit, and returning to small in moments of low motivation or other impediment (eg 1 pushup will keep the momentum. 0 pushups won't)
When I feel daunted by a repetitive editing task, or intimidated by something I don't know yet...
The repetitive tasks I choose a small number of steps, something I can accomplish in 5, maybe 10 minutes, and plan to stop and do something else for a bit. Read an article, stare out a window at nature, play a couple of minutes of a game. Then I do another set of changes until I start to lose focus and do a brain break. Rinse and repeat.
If I feel like I don't know where to start, I need to learn something, I listen to what the anxiety is screaming and pick out one question that will fill in the next level of knowledge, no matter how silly it sounds. ("Ok, you know <html>, and <head> and <body>... what's the next level in <body>?") Every time my knowledge hoovering starts to falter, I stop and pull out just one next question...
And equivalents for other circumstances, of course. Those are just my most common roadblocks.
In a nutshell: He views the current situation as the end of a 40 year bull market and predicts a very big market crash in the short term followed by an inflation driven recovery for the next ten years.
> He views the current situation as the end of a 40 year bull market and predicts a very big market crash in the short term followed by an inflation driven recovery for the next ten years.
That's what everyone remotely acquaint with money and markets knows. It's just inevitable with the way markets work and human psychology.
The better question would be what is going to trigger the event.
If I would do a kind of bet, I would bet that the event which will trigger the market crash will apparently be like nothing real (like Pandemic, natural disaster ...) happened, yet one day the "market" will start selling everything after a normal-like event in the market (a company buying another company, or a corporation selling their division ... or announcing a third quarter loss). And like probably other stuff once the spiral of the market will go down more and more people will start going out, wanting their money back so making the spiral faster and faster.
I think the difference between what I explain and COVID is that COVID can be seen like an external event but we had big hopes we can solve it. So there was not need in the market to react to this long term. Hope made the market rise up very quickly after the first months of 2020.
Of course I am just reading articles on the internet, I don't have any experience in money/markets/financials so I see this mostly as a funny possible situation.
It's almost impossible to predict this kind of even for a a very simple reason - markets not only react on objective events, but also react on expectations and fear/greed.
One of my favourite simplification is weather forecast - currently feather doesn't depend on our expectations of it and predicting it is already extremely difficult task. Now you can imagine if weather would factor in what we expect it to be - and forecasting would be even more complicated.
That's said, it may be important or unimportant event, however noone has capacity to predict it (although in the hindsight there will be a lot of those who will brag that they had seen it coming).
First, I would imagine that in a fragile market any major piece of bad news could trigger the necessary panic (the Credit Suisse hedge fund story would have been a prime candidate), but it seems impossible to know in advance which one.
Then, I would have thought that if you are wondering what to do with your money the more important thing would be a rough sense of timing (or market level) for the crash and a sense of what assets will do well in the aftermath.
According to David Hunter that level is SP > 4700, which he reckons will be reached in the next few months and in the aftermath equity will perform poorly and commodities will do great.
By the way, if anyone has reasons to believe this is full of shit I'd love to hear them. I'm certainly no financial expert.
I wonder to what extent people are substituting their estimated score with their estimated relative position.
Let's say a 50% score at a test puts you in the 1. percentile and 70% in the 99th. I would actually expect people to estimate their relative position roughly in line with their results.
This is all very cool, and FWIW I also love the retro design.
Sorry if I missed it, but one thing I couldn't find on the website is what legal entity is behind the service. It would be important for me and the organisations I work with to know who we are trusting with our data.
It might even be a legal obligation to have that info on the site depending on which country you are located in (Germany for sure, not sure about others).
Hey - for sure. Because I'm the only team member, the entity behind the business is registered as a "sole trader". If you email me on hi@gpu.land I'm happy to share the details.
A simple rule for dealing with comments is « no feedback on feedback ».
Obviously works best if the person commenting doesn’t have any power in the situation. That being the case, avoiding a big discussion and extracting whatever useful information is contained in the comment is a net win.
To your last point, if it is possible for drug addicts and alcoholics to overcome decade long compulsive behavior, there is no reason you can’t too.
If you are genuinely clear as to your values and what gives you meaning then mostly it would be a case of building new habits. I’ve found B.J. Fogg’s Tiny Habits to be really effective for that.
One other thing worth mentioning is that you might be beating yourself up for not being productive in your spare time, which is particularly self defeating since the feeling of guilt will lead to more of the avoidance behavior. If you are tired after a full days work maybe start by planning more meaningful ways to relax, like watching a good movie, taking a bath or reading a book.
Finally make sure you are actually pursuing happiness in the right place. Laurie Santos’s podcast on happiness is well worth a listen (and is conveniently also a relaxing thing to listen to in your spare time :-)
> To your last point, if it is possible for drug addicts and alcoholics to overcome decade long compulsive behavior, there is no reason you can’t too.
Agreed. It certainly feels impossible but I know rationally that it isn't. That being said, bridging the rational knowing vs the emotional feeling is always a challenge, especially with behaviors that are compulsive.
> One other thing worth mentioning is that you might be beating yourself up for not being productive in your spare time, which is particularly self defeating since the feeling of guilt will lead to more of the avoidance behavior
It's interesting that you mention this because I do carry a lot of guilt when I'm not working or learning something, which definitely tends to exacerbate the avoidant behavior and make me more likely to engage in it. I have a very hard time accepting that something like watching a movie, reading a (non-work) book, or playing a video game is "worthwhile", because it feels like it's not "productive". It's something I'm definitely working on, however.
The first is that the option of being permanently productive doesn’t seem to be open to you, at least not right now. The bit that makes compulsive behavior so hard to get rid of is that it bypasses the executive circuits of the brain, and if you are fighting on two fronts by trying to do reestablish rational control AND strong arming yourself into doing something productive in a state of exhaustion then it is even harder.
So realistically at the moment the choice is between meaningful downtime and endless YouTubes (or whatever your rabbit hole of choice is). Once you have reestablished executive control then you can consider reintroducing productive activities.
The second reframing is to view culture and social interactions as learning about the human condition. You’re still growing your brain, just not in a way that is directly applicable to your professional life.
And in any case: No one should go through life without having read War and Peace :-)
The bit I struggle with is the contradiction between "try ideas out cheaply and fail many times until you hit on the right one" and "believe in what you do and keep going come what may". How do you pick between the two?
Meteor.com is using NodeJS as a backend, but the idea is to not separate these two components. So Meteor spans both and you can write stuff designated for the client and the server side in the same file. In practice we rarely do, but both sides run the same code. Check it out!
The key trick is to start really small to remove the hurdle of getting going and establishing the habit, and returning to small in moments of low motivation or other impediment (eg 1 pushup will keep the momentum. 0 pushups won't)