This is exactly the problem.

Companies currently are being sold that they can replace employees with little agents that cost $20 to $200 a month.

But then they realize that the $200 last for about 3.5 hours on day 1 of the month and the rest will be charged by the token. Which will then cost as much or more than the employee did, but with a nice guaranteed quota of non determinism and failure rate included.

I personally don't know a single person that would pay $80 for some LLM. Most people i know pay nothing, or got a 1 year sub of a phone purchase or similar.

Also, everyone here conveniently always forgets the huge hardware and datacenter upfront investment that MS have already made. That cost alone will never be recouped with current prices.

If you can't even run the thing close to profitable, then how will you ever actually profit?

But don't worry guys, your robotaxi will recoup your tesla purchase within a year while you sleep.

I think this time is the first time that it will actually hurt all the large corps investing gazillions of dollars into AI infra.

Shipping some ads in windows? Doesn't really hurt you, it makes you extra money. Sure, some customers get a little annoyed, but who cares.

But this time they invested huge amounts of money to chase something that will likely never get profitable and return enough to pay off.

I think these kinds of problems were already solved using ML and to a pretty high accuracy.

But now everyone is trying to make chatbots do that job and they are awful at it.

In my experience, most devs and companies don't consider the dependencies they load 'their' code. They only look at the code they write, not everything they deploy.

Making a bicycle with square wheels is not being ahead of it's time, though.

Most of the time MS is actually delivering something successful is when they are very late or bought it and put their sticker on it.

Gaming is a massive loss leader, MS will never make back the money they invested to buy other publishers. The subscription model will fail aswell, prices will have to go up more, to try and actually make some profit.

Microsoft themselves have actually made it a technical one. By dropping support for perfectly fine computer without TPM/SecureBoot, they have made it an actual technical decision to install an alternative to their OS.

Actually in the latest MacOS release it constantly trains local models for all kinds of junk without asking you at all.

I had to disable all that AI garbage in the settings after researching a bunch of local inference and training processes that were grinding my MacBook to a halt every time it woke up from sleep.

I don't think that's the right direction to go in.

Despite needing much knowledge of how a planes inner workings function, a pilot is still a pilot and not an aircraft engineer.

Just because you know how human psychology works when it comes to making purchase decision and you are good at applying that to sell things, you're not a sales engineer.

Giving something a fake name, to make it seem more complicated or aspirational than it actually is makes you a bullshit engineer in my opinion.