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is 51% good enough to reliably use? There's no world in which I use an AI agent where it gets even 15% of the code wrong, that's as bad a Tesla FSD where you need to pay attention to the road while engaging FSD. What's the point? My attention is what I'm trying to relieve, not mostly correct functionality. The only thing that matters is whether you can one-shot code like Claude or Codex, I'm not interested in a small but mostly-okay-but-annoyingly-buggy-every-now-and-then AI.

Claude opus 4.6 scores 51.9% on the same benchmark. Microsoft's result is quite good.

51% does not mean it randomly gets things wrong half the time.

These things can be useful if you can accurately predict which tasks they will reliably do, and which they will usually fail on. Then you can get much more reliable work from them.


OG SpaceX is growing at 7% YoY. That is not a business that commands a 150x revenue multiple. xAI is arguably shrinking. StarLink has a bunch of heavy lifting to do and unless it keeps growing 40% YoY for 10 years, law of large numbers be damned.

300B given its revenues would be a huge stretch. 780B is ridiculous. 1.5T is science fiction.

Have you seen teslas EPS?

Unfortunately I have very little knowledge of the historical stock market and if this order of magnitude of bullshit valuation has ever occurred before.


How did Meta security sign off on this "feature"? That is the biggest shock in my opinion.

This is the first time I've seen a Public, Confidential S-1 filing.

It's the contents of the submission that are confidential, not the fact that they are submitting.

The contents themselves contain a lot of detailed information about the internals of the company including financials, revenue, ownership details etc... those details are what's confidential until the SEC gives its approval, at which point the public can then review the document.


What this means it that it won't survive scrutiny, so better hide it so that there is only a small amount of time to do it.

Why do you think this? Confidential filings before an IPO are standard practice.

I suppose they announced it because the fact that they submitted it would leak anyway.

> This is the first time I've seen a Public, Confidential S-1 filing

Welcome to 2012 [1].

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Form_S-1#:~:text=Under%20the%2...


I like your sense of humor

That's how you know it's purely marketing and they're not actually going public.

excuse me. what am i being sold, in this so called marketing?

You? Nothing. Private investors? The dream of an IPO.

they closed series h, last thursday†. what are you on about?

https://www.anthropic.com/news/series-h


Given how often these get leaked (see Palantir + SpaceX) and the cost of preparation, why would you ever file an S-1 unless you were serious?

Because you want another funding round but you will get it only if investors think they're going to get their money back soon.

Who cares about token speed? What is the quality of the results like? I don't know why people are so fixated on token speed, since no one cares how quickly it can spew garbage. Most reasonable people are happier waiting a bit more for accurate results.

It matters on consumer hardware since barely any model runs at reasonable speed.

It also matters for thinking models and for agentic workflows, especially in software engineering, where a lot of tokens need to be output in iterative loops before the user sees any result.

This is our main use case.


You already could trade stocks algorithmically for decades. I don't see the value in letting the AI agent trade completely autonomously though.

This feels like when everything became webified for no reason, or everyone added features like 3D TVs that were clearly not necessary.


If you know how to trade stock algorithmically, then this "letting" part don't really apply.

This is only about removing friction for the non-professionals to rapidly burn their money...


And people wonder why Luigi has so much support from the general public?

There is a little difference between this story and the Luigi thing, in that the man in this story did not commit murder.

Neither did Luigi. Innocent until proven guilty and all that.

i’m not saying that Luigi did it, but someone did it and people are celebrating them for it.

This looks like a corporation stealing from an old man. It’s clear-cut wrong, even if the YouTuber is annoying. I wouldn’t put it in the same bucket as a common murderer with similar favorable as Stephen Miller.

The Legos were being sold to fund the college education of the old man's young descendants IIRC. So, like the killing, the alleged issue is a corporation stealing from a young man, actually.

> This looks like a corporation stealing from an old man,

I would. They are evil. Treat them like so.


I hope this comment isn't flagged or downvoted into oblivion. This is exactly what happened and the consequences of George W Bush are where we are today. Everyone looks at him and thinks "Oh what a cute old man, he's joking around with Michelle Obama!" and no one remembers he is directly responsible for 1 million Iraqi deaths, and then enriching the shareholders of Cheney's company. And then he broke the Middle East, created ISIS, etc.

And then Obama came in with promises and almost immediately brought everything back to default George Bush timelines. To those of you that don't live in SF, most SF progressives HATED Obama because all he did was legitimize Bush's policies instead of acting on his promises of "Hope" and "Change". Anyone remember how he talked about abortion rights, and then immediately after his presidency said that it wasn't a priority for him? If abortion rights were passed as a federal law, we wouldn't be where we are today post Dobbs.


You don't live in the Bay Area.

Schools around the Bay Area are closing, especially in rich areas like Saratoga and Cupertino. That's because parents who can afford it are moving their children to private schools because of exactly what the OP was saying.

Schools are incentivized to focus on struggling kids because test scores are how teachers and schools are evaluated. The kids at the high end of the class are literally ignored. I know this because in my old neighborhood many parents were complaining about this. And then on top of it, the superintendent was begging parents for donations because they didn't have enough money.


I'm not saying it isn't in your personal best interest to consider switching your kids out of public schooling. The problem is that the public schools need to be fixed, not abandoned.

There's a difference between "I choose to send my family to Charter schools because the public schools are in bad condition" and "we should close down public schools rather than fix them to make room for more profit in the child education industry"

Fixing public education is the boring, slow, difficult, real-world answer. Privatizing education further is just adding fuel to the fire.


Self inflicted injuries. Bunch of the public schools in large metro areas have removed their gifted and honors programs. Seattle and NY. That will force people into private schools or charter schools. Some districts talked about removing pre-calculus, thats will force kids as well. Dumbing everyone down to the lowest common dominator isn't the solution and public schools should fail if they keep that up. Its banning schools from having separate JV team and varsity team forcing all the athletes into the two teams without looking at ability. Unfair for everyone.

> There's a difference between "I choose to send my family to Charter schools because the public schools are in bad condition" and "we should close down public schools rather than fix them to make room for more profit in the child education industry"

The case for closing down public schools and replacing them with a for-profit child education industry is that it's systematically easier for all parents to get a better education for their children by abandoning bad schools and only paying good schools in a free market, than it is for parents to participate in the mass political process of fixing public schools, which are government institutions intended to serve a broad mass of people.

Also because different parents have different ideas about what constitutes a good education for their kids, different private schools can differentiate themselves in the marketplace by specializing in different styles of education and attracting different student bases; rather than parents having to democratically coordinate to enact the changes they want in the same mass-scope public school system (and fight against rival groups of parents who want incompatible things).


You fix public education by kicking out the fascist left agenda, that believes that high achievement is only from white supremacy, and lowering standards for Black and Brown kids so that they pass but leave high school completely uneducated.

For reference, over 50% of Black and Brown kids that graduate from high school in San Francisco Unified School District can't read properly. That is about as racist an outcome as you can imagine, creating generations of undereducated citizens, however this was completely promulgated without a single right-wing influence, it was completely an outcome from pure left-wing educators. They also believe math is white supremacy so they restrict high achievers from taking it at lower grades, which caused many of the Asian families to move to private.

And yet, they spent $2 million renaming schools because I guess they thought that was money better spent than educating Black and Brown kids. That is the zenith of hypocrisy and racism.


> Schools around the Bay Area are closing, especially in rich areas like Saratoga and Cupertino. That's because parents who can afford it are moving their children to private schools because of exactly what the OP was saying.

It could also be that fewer of the sorts of people who choose to live (or can afford to live) in places like Saratoga and Cupertino are having children at all.


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