Even experienced artists look at reference. Unless they had an elephant or sketch of one right in front of them, minor issues are understandable.

Even then we're assuming it's not stylized. They clearly wanted a nice tile pattern, and might have made deliberate tweaks to get that.

They all agree. A couple of them just chose to pretend they didn't.

I don't think any of us are going to be able to get enough of a sample size to know if their age estimation tool is working well or not. You can know the age of your real life friends, but beyond that it's just going to be self report.

Pressured, as in asked them to do something, which they ignored. Possibly problematic, but the elephant in the room is Trump directly threatening to put Mark Zuckerberg in prison for life: https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/28/trump-zuckerberg-el...

> asked them to do something, which they ignored.

They certainly did not ignore the request [0] (which came at the same time as the FTC were suing Meta for monopoly).

Hundreds of millions of posts were taken down or suppressed.

0 - https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/biden-administration-repeate...

That article does say they ignored it:

> In 2021, senior officials from the Biden Administration, including the White House, repeatedly pressured our teams for months to censor certain COVID-19 content, including humor and satire, and expressed a lot of frustration with our teams when we didn't agree. Ultimately, it was our decision whether or not to take content down, and we own our decisions, including COVID-19-related changes we made to our enforcement in the wake of this pressure.

You're misinterpreting that sentence. It's not that they never agreed. It's that sometimes they disagreed, and they got pressured harder when they did.

Did you read the first two paragraphs?

> In a letter to the US Congress, Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg has alleged that the US government under Joe Biden "repeatedly pressured" Meta to censor certain content on its platforms.

> In the letter addressed to US House of Representatives, Mr Zuckerberg said that the platform had to make some changes, that "with the benefit of hindsight and new information," they won't make today. He added that he regrets not being "more outspoken" about it.

We know for a fact that Meta had removed over 20 million Corona posts by April 2021 alone [0]. Some of those were genuine misinformation - but a hell of a lot were legitimate and important questions from reputable sources. It's simply not reasonable to believe this wasn't due to pressure.

0 - https://www.cnet.com/news/social-media/facebook-removed-more...

But, it tends to be difficult to find any metric that's meaningful.

For example, increased test flakiness can be a positive sign. I know that seems unlikely, but if you see some spike in flakey tests, it's often a side effect of people adding end to end tests, because some issue made it to production.

At my current job they monitor how long PRs are open, and it appears to mostly be a measure of repository age. Old repositories have more PRs sitting around.

What you really want to measure is "how good is the product?", or "are we delivering quickly relative to the difficulty of what's asked?" and those turns out to be extremely expensive to measure, so people use metrics that don't work well instead.

You want them to somehow convince Musk to give them access, and then manually review all images generated?

Anyone would take a sample and then do some math. There's no reason to expend all that time.

But, in essence, they want to strip the ability of parents to give their kids the responsibility you describe. No letting your kids use social media, look adult content, or whatever else. It's simply banned.

> You are in danger. Unless you estimate the odds of a breakthrough at <5%

It's not the odds of the breakthrough, but the timeline. A factory worker could have correctly seen that one day automation would replace him, and yet worked his entire career in that role.

There have been a ton of predictions about software engineers, radiologists, and some other roles getting replaced in months. Those predictions have clearly been not so great.

At this point the greater risk to my career seems to be the economy tanking, as that seems to be happening and ongoing. Unfortunately, switching careers can't save you from that.

We are the French artisans being replaced by English factories. OpenAI and its employees are the factory.

Checking the scoreboard a bit later on: the French economy is currently about the same size as the UK.

That has little to do with what I wrote, and isn't addressing the central issue.

Try doing a search for something like "Average US online time". Those are normal people. Normal people are terminally online.

> Artists Are Solopreneurs

They make that assumption throughout, but the most straight forward way to make a living as an artist is to apply for a job.

For some types of art, the norm is to be an employee. It's mostly game studios that need people who can make nice 3D models.