Based on the weather report in the region. It almost certainly an accident.

Or an accident that they try to pass as an assassination attempt, or an internal attack they try to pass as a foreign attack. Who knows. We certainly do not.

How would this benefit Israel? Wouldn’t Khamanei just appoint someone equally or potentially even more extremist? Killing a general is one thing because there is experience and wisdom lost but politicians are largely replaceable.

To provoke an Iranian reaction and involve the US into an all out war with Iran. A goal pursued by Netanyahu for two decades.

But it would have made vastly more sense to do that when Israel had casus belli after Iran’s massive drone strike last month. Also, fighting a two-front war is very difficult even under ideal conditions (see: Hitler).